Guest
I chat with Emmet Peppers about S&P 500 inclusion update, narrative vs action, green pastures, recommended courses, survivorship bias, the keys to Emmet's success, and the combo of detachment, blended probability perspective, psychology of outcomes, and the power of the big bet. Emmet on Twitter: emmetpeppers Emmet's website: LIVE Update on Emmet Peppers' Big TSLA Options Bet (Ep. 197), Emmet Peppers: Betting 7 figures on TSLA S&P 500 Inclusion (Ep. 194), How I Went From $1M to $30M In 2020: Chat With Emmet Peppers (Ep. 176), 2014 interview with Emmet: Timestamps 0:00 - Intro 0:55 - Emmet’s trade update 2:28 - Risk of speculators flipping to S&P 4:40 - Tesla doing a stock offering 6:50 - S&P is a share price catalyst 9:07 - S&P’s Monday announcement 10:30 - Crafting research vs verifying what’s true 14:05 - How to discern what’s true 15:45 - Big loss example even with early success 17:15 - Stripe IPO via SPAC theory 21:20 - How did Emmet verify veracity of S&P rise theory? 24:05 - Courses for options trading 32:45 - How to learn about options 34:25 - Survivorship bias 38:15 - Role of ambition in investing 43:05 - Have you followed someone else’s trade? 45:05 - Unsureness in investment moves 50:35 - What’s the key insight that allows your brain to find opportunity? 54:00 - Dave’s take on Emmet’s investment insights 1:05:15 - Efficient market hypothesis 1:10:15 - Conclusion 🐦 Dave Lee on Twitter 🎧 Apple Podcast: 🎙️Spotify 📸 Instagram 💁🏻♂️ Disclaimer: All content on this channel is for discussion and illustrative purposes only and should not be construed as professional financial advice or recommendation to buy or sell any securities. Should you need such advice, consult a licensed financial or tax advisor. All views expressed are personal opinion as of date of recording and are subject to change without responsibility to update views. No guarantee is given regarding the accuracy of information on this channel. Neither host or guests can be held responsible for any direct or incidental loss incurred by applying any of the information offered. Author is long TSLA, LMND, SQ, and other stocks at time of original video publish date. Buying a Tesla? 🚗 Car: Use my referral link to receive 1,000 free Supercharger miles with the purchase of a new Tesla. ☀️ Solar: You’ll get $100, I’ll get $500 for a new install of a Tesla solar system. Videos: Tesla ONLY Videos: SpaceX Starlink ONLY Videos: Square ONLY Videos: Lemonade ONLY Videos: Company Analysis Videos: Interviews: Check out my archived articles/posts on Tesla and investing: #post-485768
