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European natural gas prices soared 15% today following last week’s 40% jump due to increasing labor action risks in Australia 🇦🇺. Potential strikes at three top LNG sites operated by Chevron and Woodside Energy Group Ltd. could disrupt global supplies. These three locations account for as much as 10% of global LNG exports. Dutch front-month TTF futures is trading around €39 a megawatt-hour (lower compared to last year). The good news for Europe is that demand for natural gas remains soft as heating season has not arrived yet and German 🇩🇪 factories that use natural gas continue to close down leading Europe into de-industrialization. Storage facilities across the continent are % full, the highest level for this time of year in over a decade. The bad news for Europe is it is now subjected to sourcing the LNG around the world, making it prone to supply snarls. Accustomed to cheap Russian 🇷🇺 pipeline gas, European buyers are finding out that the LNG spot market have very different rules, which ultimately resulted in higher—much higher—prices when a new buyer as big as the EU 🇪🇺 appeared on the stage. This means higher prices for longer. And even higher prices and the constant threat of a price shock in case of supply disruption. Volatility this winter could mean higher bills for households, as well as industrial gas consumers. Price levels and price volatility are two distinct concepts. A constant volatility at higher prices results in a greater dollar value price change at those higher prices. Meanwhile, U.S. 🇺🇸 natural gas futures rose as hotter-than-normal weather kept cooling demand high, with consumption set to rise further into next week. Video source- Bloomberg Источник: The Paradigm Shift Channel ⏳
